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Monthly Archives: July 2011
Players Hitting DeMark For Euro Prospects
Let my try to convey, in my own brief, simplified way, a Tom DeMark-based idea on EUR/USD’s long-term prospects which appears to be something like la mode in parts of this parish right now. We’ll use this chart to illustrate … Continue reading
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Raise The Roof, It’s Vacation Time
Today I spoke with an economist who owns and heads an independent, forecasting boutique with many large enterprises, institutions and even governments of small countries as clients. Even with such a weighty reputation, he has a mild reputation, in informal … Continue reading
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Tagged dollar, Economic Policy, economics, foreign exchange, forex, Geithner, government, house of congress, macroeconomics, Obama, US, US Government, USD, Washington
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One Day, CHF and EUR, Will Be €1
With the world beset by all manner of crises right now, the Swiss franc is most likely on the closest to a vertical trajectory as we’ll ever see in our time. (We hope.) And during such times, there there’s often … Continue reading
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Tagged CHF, economics, EUR, Euro zone, European Central Bank, European Union, foreign exchange, forex, risk, SMI, sovereign, sovereign credit spread, sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, stock markets, stocks, Swiss Market Index, Switzerland
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Deutsche Bank could FAIL, strictly speaking
Deutsche Bank: solid as a Black Forest oak. But could it fail stress tests? The idea that it might outright or nearly fail the EU tests is gathering pace and adding a small chill to European markets right now. The results are … Continue reading
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Tagged Basel II, Basel III, cds, debt, derivatives, Deutsche Bank, EUR, foreign exchange, Germany, markets, regulation, sovereign, sovereign credit spread, sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, stocks, USD
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I Present, The Trichet Traffic Light System
Looking ahead to a press conference with the ECB’s president, Jean-Claude Trichet, in a few minutes, someone with far too much time has devised a ‘keyword traffic light system.’ When/if to expect rate moves and by how much depends on … Continue reading
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