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Tag Archives: Bonds
Fed Decision – A Minority Report
The analogy sort of fits; and what put me in mind of it was the news this week that the FBI has commenced a project to create a hi-tech facial recognition database. We of course, are concerned about a different … Continue reading
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Tagged Bonds, central bank, dollar, Economic Forecast, Economic Policy, economics, federal reserve, foreign exchange, forex, macroeconomics, markets, monetary policy, sovereign debt, The City, The Square Mile
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ECB Floats Yield Target Idea; U-Boats Launched
Late this morning the markets seem to have sobered up a bit following earlier barely fettered optimism about a Der Spiegel article over the weekend. It said: “The European Central Bank is considering setting limits on yields of euro area sovereign … Continue reading
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Tagged Bonds, central bank, debt, Economic Forecast, Economic Policy, economics, EUR, euro, Europe, European Central Bank, European Union, macroeconomics, markets, sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, The Square Mile
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ECB Bullets To Shoot Down High Hopes [Sorry]
The views below are based on my soundings, readings and common sense. Responsibility my own: ESM banking licence: crisis would need to deteriorate significantly (threaten the core) before such a politically contentious and legally complex policy change is considered. Bear … Continue reading
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Tagged Bonds, central bank, debt, dollar, Economic Forecast, Economic Policy, economics, EUR, Euro zone, Europe, European Central Bank, European Union, foreign exchange, forex, macroeconomics, sovereign debt, The City, The Square Mile, trading
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Negative Benchmark Omens – How Imminent is the Doom For Yields?
Discussion of whether [or when] there is likely to be a collapse in ‘core’ government debt prices appears to be increasing. One example Specifically in Europe, the question of when Bunds in general [and perhaps the Euro Bund Future contract … Continue reading
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Tagged Bonds, bunds, debt, Economic Forecast, economics, EUR, interest rates, macroeconomics, markets, sovereign, sovereign debt, Treasurys
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Spain: the Pain the Bailout Forgot
EU leaders hailed it. Merkel & Co. gave their blessing to it. UK leaders nodded in mild approval to it. The IMF applauded it [from the sidelines.] And markets, of course, ‘sold’ it. It’s not that frequent for the political … Continue reading
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Tagged Bonds, central bank, Economic Forecast, Economic Policy, EFSF, ESM, Euro zone, macroeconomics, markets, sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Spain, The Square Mile
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Why Pillaging Alpha From Italy’s Yields Might Not Be So Easy
Espresso 7% rate on all debt would cost just EUR140B Italy projects it will collect c. EUR500 bln taxes in 2012 Italy’s Total Debt Scenario Relatively Tame Italian household debt is about 40% of GDP Risk/Scope for Financial Repression Some … Continue reading
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Tagged Berlusconi, Bond Yields, Bonds, central bank, debt, EUR, euro, Euro zone, Europe, European Union, Italy, Mario Monti, Monti, politics, sovereign, sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis
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The week’s off and on risky, European affair
#CHF and #JPY strength into the Western evening on Wednesday and early in #Asia underscores the switching back off of ‘risk’ after quite a battering for that sentiment in the last 36 hours. You name it, we’ve had it: profit … Continue reading
A USD/JPY Caution Pre FOMC Minutes
Don’t expect too much USD/JPY upside from the FOMC minutes. Some are expecting a fair bit. [The minutes are due to be released at 1800 GMT.] Given the perceived dovishness of Chairman Bernanke’s comments in the wake of the latest … Continue reading
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Tagged bernanke, Bonds, debt, dollar, fed, FeFederal Reserve, fixed income, FOMC, foreign exchange, forex, JPY, minutes, sovereign, sovereign debt, Treasurys, USD, yen, yields
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Euro survives Greece’s small incendiary, but issue smolders on
The euro is reflecting the small, well-timed, incendiary device Greek officials lobbed into proceedings towards the close of play on Friday. As we know, it started late Friday with Der Spiegel’s report that Greece was threatening to leave the euro … Continue reading
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Tagged Bonds, debt, euro, Euro zone, Europe, foreign exchange, forex, Greece, peripheral, peripheral euro zone, sovereign, sovereign debt
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