Tag Archives: debt

ECB Floats Yield Target Idea; U-Boats Launched

Late this morning the markets seem to have sobered up a bit following earlier barely fettered optimism about a Der Spiegel article over the weekend. It said: “The European Central Bank is considering setting limits on yields of euro area sovereign … Continue reading

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ECB Bullets To Shoot Down High Hopes [Sorry]

The views below are based on my soundings, readings and common sense. Responsibility my own: ESM banking licence: crisis would need to deteriorate significantly (threaten the core) before such a politically contentious and legally complex policy change is considered. Bear … Continue reading

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Negative Benchmark Omens – How Imminent is the Doom For Yields?

Discussion of whether [or when] there is likely to be a collapse in ‘core’ government debt prices appears to be increasing. One example Specifically in Europe, the question of when Bunds in general [and perhaps the Euro Bund Future contract … Continue reading

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Why Pillaging Alpha From Italy’s Yields Might Not Be So Easy

Espresso 7% rate on all debt would cost just EUR140B Italy projects it will collect c. EUR500 bln taxes in 2012 Italy’s Total Debt Scenario Relatively Tame Italian household debt is about 40% of GDP Risk/Scope for Financial Repression Some … Continue reading

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Deutsche Bank could FAIL, strictly speaking

Deutsche Bank: solid as a Black Forest oak. But could it fail stress tests? The idea that it might outright or nearly fail the EU tests is gathering pace and adding a small chill to European markets right now. The results are … Continue reading

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A USD/JPY Caution Pre FOMC Minutes

Don’t expect too much USD/JPY upside from the FOMC minutes. Some are expecting a fair bit. [The minutes are due to be released at 1800 GMT.] Given the perceived dovishness of Chairman Bernanke’s comments in the wake of the latest … Continue reading

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Euro survives Greece’s small incendiary, but issue smolders on

The euro is reflecting the small, well-timed, incendiary device Greek officials lobbed into proceedings towards the close of play on Friday. As we know, it started late Friday with Der Spiegel’s report that Greece was threatening to leave the euro … Continue reading

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