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Tag Archives: EUR
The Bankia Signal
Another Friday, another wait for economic news out of Spain. The results of the second part of an audit of Spain’s banks – started in May and with particular reference to their funding needs – is likely to be released … Continue reading
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Tagged Bank of Spain, Bankia, EUR, euro, Euro zone, markets, risk, sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Spain, stocks, Tesoro, The City, The City of London, The Square Mile, trading
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ECB Floats Yield Target Idea; U-Boats Launched
Late this morning the markets seem to have sobered up a bit following earlier barely fettered optimism about a Der Spiegel article over the weekend. It said: “The European Central Bank is considering setting limits on yields of euro area sovereign … Continue reading
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Tagged Bonds, central bank, debt, Economic Forecast, Economic Policy, economics, EUR, euro, Europe, European Central Bank, European Union, macroeconomics, markets, sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, The Square Mile
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ECB Bullets To Shoot Down High Hopes [Sorry]
The views below are based on my soundings, readings and common sense. Responsibility my own: ESM banking licence: crisis would need to deteriorate significantly (threaten the core) before such a politically contentious and legally complex policy change is considered. Bear … Continue reading
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Tagged Bonds, central bank, debt, dollar, Economic Forecast, Economic Policy, economics, EUR, Euro zone, Europe, European Central Bank, European Union, foreign exchange, forex, macroeconomics, sovereign debt, The City, The Square Mile, trading
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Negative Benchmark Omens – How Imminent is the Doom For Yields?
Discussion of whether [or when] there is likely to be a collapse in ‘core’ government debt prices appears to be increasing. One example Specifically in Europe, the question of when Bunds in general [and perhaps the Euro Bund Future contract … Continue reading
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Tagged Bonds, bunds, debt, Economic Forecast, economics, EUR, interest rates, macroeconomics, markets, sovereign, sovereign debt, Treasurys
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Staying Sharp At The Summit
Personally, I’m making an effort to remain alert as we go into the 2 millionth Summit [slight exaggeration] to discuss the euro-zone crisis. No matter how monotonous this newsflow has become though, it can still spring surprises – including for … Continue reading
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Tagged central bank, ECB, Economic Policy, economics, EUR, Euro zone, Europe, European Central Bank, fiscal policy, politics, Sovereign Debt Crisis
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Why Pillaging Alpha From Italy’s Yields Might Not Be So Easy
Espresso 7% rate on all debt would cost just EUR140B Italy projects it will collect c. EUR500 bln taxes in 2012 Italy’s Total Debt Scenario Relatively Tame Italian household debt is about 40% of GDP Risk/Scope for Financial Repression Some … Continue reading
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Tagged Berlusconi, Bond Yields, Bonds, central bank, debt, EUR, euro, Euro zone, Europe, European Union, Italy, Mario Monti, Monti, politics, sovereign, sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis
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Overnight Bungee Practice
If Wednesday’s market moves in Europe are just half as volatile as they were in the relatively illiquid overnight conditions, it’ll be an ‘interesting’ day. Just after London’s close, the euro spiked circa 80 pts to 1.3760/65, as did other … Continue reading
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Tagged EUR, euro, Euro zone, financial markets, financial news, forex, Greece
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Expect short-term tumble, but no long-term USD collapse
What a weekend. I sense that many have been reluctant to get involved in the necessary task of trying to work out what the two almost seismic bits of financial news over the weekend mean. However many did get involved. … Continue reading
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Tagged aud, australian dollar, british pound, CHF, dollar, economics, equities, EUR, euro, foreign exchange, forex, GBP, markets, New Zealand dollar, NZD, risk, s&p, standard & poor's, sterling, stocks, Swiss france, USD
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One Day, CHF and EUR, Will Be €1
With the world beset by all manner of crises right now, the Swiss franc is most likely on the closest to a vertical trajectory as we’ll ever see in our time. (We hope.) And during such times, there there’s often … Continue reading
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Tagged CHF, economics, EUR, Euro zone, European Central Bank, European Union, foreign exchange, forex, risk, SMI, sovereign, sovereign credit spread, sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, stock markets, stocks, Swiss Market Index, Switzerland
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Deutsche Bank could FAIL, strictly speaking
Deutsche Bank: solid as a Black Forest oak. But could it fail stress tests? The idea that it might outright or nearly fail the EU tests is gathering pace and adding a small chill to European markets right now. The results are … Continue reading
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Tagged Basel II, Basel III, cds, debt, derivatives, Deutsche Bank, EUR, foreign exchange, Germany, markets, regulation, sovereign, sovereign credit spread, sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, stocks, USD
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