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Tag Archives: sovereign
Negative Benchmark Omens – How Imminent is the Doom For Yields?
Discussion of whether [or when] there is likely to be a collapse in ‘core’ government debt prices appears to be increasing. One example Specifically in Europe, the question of when Bunds in general [and perhaps the Euro Bund Future contract … Continue reading
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Tagged Bonds, bunds, debt, Economic Forecast, economics, EUR, interest rates, macroeconomics, markets, sovereign, sovereign debt, Treasurys
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Why Pillaging Alpha From Italy’s Yields Might Not Be So Easy
Espresso 7% rate on all debt would cost just EUR140B Italy projects it will collect c. EUR500 bln taxes in 2012 Italy’s Total Debt Scenario Relatively Tame Italian household debt is about 40% of GDP Risk/Scope for Financial Repression Some … Continue reading
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Tagged Berlusconi, Bond Yields, Bonds, central bank, debt, EUR, euro, Euro zone, Europe, European Union, Italy, Mario Monti, Monti, politics, sovereign, sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis
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One Day, CHF and EUR, Will Be €1
With the world beset by all manner of crises right now, the Swiss franc is most likely on the closest to a vertical trajectory as we’ll ever see in our time. (We hope.) And during such times, there there’s often … Continue reading
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Tagged CHF, economics, EUR, Euro zone, European Central Bank, European Union, foreign exchange, forex, risk, SMI, sovereign, sovereign credit spread, sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, stock markets, stocks, Swiss Market Index, Switzerland
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Deutsche Bank could FAIL, strictly speaking
Deutsche Bank: solid as a Black Forest oak. But could it fail stress tests? The idea that it might outright or nearly fail the EU tests is gathering pace and adding a small chill to European markets right now. The results are … Continue reading
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Tagged Basel II, Basel III, cds, debt, derivatives, Deutsche Bank, EUR, foreign exchange, Germany, markets, regulation, sovereign, sovereign credit spread, sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, stocks, USD
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Forget ‘Europhoria’, Look at EUR/GBP
Forget for a moment the possibility that today’s ‘Europhoria’ doesn’t really make a great deal of sense, when looked at in the round. Something quite detailed about the EUR/GBP cross was mentioned which seems to have some fundamental and technical … Continue reading
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Tagged cds, credit default swaps, EUR, Europe, foreign exchange, forex, GBP, risk, sovereign, sovereign credit spread, sovereign debt, spreads, trading
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Where is European ‘Cash’ Hiding?
Risk. Without another full-blown financial crisis, could most parts of the financial markets be any riskier right now? Hence the perennial search for assets to add which serve to reduce risk. You might like to take a look at this … Continue reading
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Tagged CHF, EUR, euro, foreign exchange, forex, markets, peripheral, peripheral euro zone, risk, sovereign, sovereign debt, trading, USD
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The week’s off and on risky, European affair
#CHF and #JPY strength into the Western evening on Wednesday and early in #Asia underscores the switching back off of ‘risk’ after quite a battering for that sentiment in the last 36 hours. You name it, we’ve had it: profit … Continue reading
A USD/JPY Caution Pre FOMC Minutes
Don’t expect too much USD/JPY upside from the FOMC minutes. Some are expecting a fair bit. [The minutes are due to be released at 1800 GMT.] Given the perceived dovishness of Chairman Bernanke’s comments in the wake of the latest … Continue reading
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Tagged bernanke, Bonds, debt, dollar, fed, FeFederal Reserve, fixed income, FOMC, foreign exchange, forex, JPY, minutes, sovereign, sovereign debt, Treasurys, USD, yen, yields
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Euro survives Greece’s small incendiary, but issue smolders on
The euro is reflecting the small, well-timed, incendiary device Greek officials lobbed into proceedings towards the close of play on Friday. As we know, it started late Friday with Der Spiegel’s report that Greece was threatening to leave the euro … Continue reading
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Tagged Bonds, debt, euro, Euro zone, Europe, foreign exchange, forex, Greece, peripheral, peripheral euro zone, sovereign, sovereign debt
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