Tag Archives: USD

What Will The Fed Do? – Predictions from The Mile [and beyond]

There’s half an hour to go before the FOMC policy announcement, which will be followed by ‘The Ben Bernanke Show’ from 1815 GMT. You can Watch the Federal Reserve press conference with chairman Bernanke here:  http://www.ustream.tv/embed/4944768 Live video for mobile … Continue reading

Posted in | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

What’s Worrying Bernanke?

Fed Chairman Bernanke gave a curious and worrying signal in his appearance yesterday before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress. He said, in the Q&A session that followed his testimony, that the recovery was ‘close to faltering.’ This subtly contradicted … Continue reading

Posted in | Tagged , , , , , , , , , ,

Why More From Operation [Oliver] Twist May Not Be Enough

http://youtu.be/sZrgxHvNNUc The problem is, ‘more’ has been given, and yet ‘more’ still, and it has not proved to be enough, for markets or the real economy. What you will not find this afternoon, is an economist or anyone attentive and … Continue reading

Posted in | Tagged , , , , , , , , , ,

JPY can go OTP ahead of DPJ Contest

QuickJPYbullets: scope for USD/JPY to plumb/set historic lows with the most recent being 76.37. Overnight the pair reversed from a peak around 76.88 and is now at a weakly looking 76.53 triangle on hourly chart suggests 73.50 target! More sensible targets are 76.37 and … Continue reading

Posted in | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

USD/JPY compressed, hourly chart with 100-day moving averages, Bollinger bands and Fibonacci-based retracements

Image | Posted on by | Tagged , , , , , , , , , ,

The Great SNB / NY Fed USD Swap Mystery

The Swiss National Bank has a USD swaps facility with The Federal Reserve Bank of New York.On behalf of a Swiss investment bank following a request, the SNB effectively applied for $200M-worth of dollars on Aug. 10 and the amount … Continue reading

Posted in | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Expect short-term tumble, but no long-term USD collapse

What a weekend. I sense that many have been reluctant to get involved in the necessary task of trying to work out what the two almost seismic bits of financial news over the weekend mean. However many did get involved. … Continue reading

Posted in | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Raise The Roof, It’s Vacation Time

Today I spoke with an economist who owns and heads an independent, forecasting boutique with many large enterprises, institutions and even governments of small countries as clients.  Even with such a weighty reputation, he has a mild reputation, in informal … Continue reading

Posted in | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Deutsche Bank could FAIL, strictly speaking

Deutsche Bank: solid as a Black Forest oak. But could it fail stress tests? The idea that it might outright or nearly fail the EU tests is gathering pace and adding a small chill to European markets right now. The results are … Continue reading

Posted in | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

#FOMC news won’t push the plunger on any volatility bombs anytime soon. The main new thing to focus on may be on the fact that inflation isn’t behaving. The Fed may need to re-cast what it means by ‘inflation’ so … Continue reading

Posted in | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , ,